Commodities

Energy Fades, While Other Commodities Shine

Precious metals speculative interest returns, options volatility jolted back to life; CO2 permits make new record

Published ET

Sources: ϕpost, FactSet data

Sources: ϕpost, FactSet data


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MACRO HEADLINES

  • OPEC+ overproduced their quotas by a cumulative 3.316 million bpd through the end of March, with Russia and Iraq still the worst offenders (Russia over by 877K bpd, Iraq by 707K bpd)
  • EIA weekly storage data saw a build of +60 Bcf vs consensus +65 Bcf
  • US says Iran could rejoin nuclear pact if it shows willingness to rein in atomic work

NOTABLE GAINERS

  • Iron Ore 62% Fe CFR China (TSI) up 10.0% (YTD: +26.8%)
  • DCE Coking Coal up 7.4% (YTD: +15.2%)
  • Gold/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option up 7.1% (YTD: -18.8%)
  • Silver/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option up 6.8% (YTD: -32.1%)
  • CME Dry Whey up 6.4% (YTD: +47.7%)
  • DCE RBD Palm Oil up 5.2% (YTD: +20.1%)
  • Freightos Baltic Europe To North America East Coast 40 Container Index up 4.7% (YTD: +90.5%)
  • Zhengzhou Exchange Thermal Coal up 4.7% (YTD: +12.2%)
  • Coffee Arabica Colombia Excelso up 4.6% (YTD: +13.8%)

NOTABLE LOSERS

  • SMM Rare Earth Dysprosium Iron Alloy Spot Price Daily down -4.7% (YTD: +31.0%)
  • Pork Primal Cutout Picnic down -3.4% (YTD: +38.6%)
  • NYMEX RBOB Gasoline down -1.7% (YTD: +50.1%)

Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, FactSet data

ENERGY

  • WTI crude front month currently at US$ 64.87 per barrel, down -1.4% on the day (YTD: +33.4%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Brent crude front month currently at US$ 68.09 per barrel, down -1.3% on the day (YTD: +31.4%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Brent volatility at 32.1, up 2.0% on the day (12-month range: 24.7 - 90.3)
  • Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 96.05 per tonne, up 2.4% on the day (YTD: +19.3%)
  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 2.93 per MMBtu, down -0.3% on the day (YTD: +15.3%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.12 per gallon, down -1.7% on the day (YTD: +50.1%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 551.00 per tonne, down -1.5% on the day (YTD: +31.0%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

BASE METALS

  • Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.62 per pound, up 1.8% on the day (YTD: +31.4%)
  • Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 1,269.50 per tonne, unchanged on the day (YTD: +14.5%)
  • Aluminium (Shanghai) currently at CNY 19,550 per tonne, up 2.0% on the day (YTD: +22.7%)
  • Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 133,410 per tonne, up 1.7% on the day (YTD: +6.7%)
  • Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 15,570 per tonne, up 1.6% on the day (YTD: +4.3%)
  • Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 5,530 per tonne, up 1.8% on the day (YTD: +29.4%)
  • Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 197,750 per tonne, up 2.8% on the day (YTD: +31.1%)
  • Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 21,970 per tonne, down -0.4% on the day (YTD: +4.7%)
  • Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 350,500 per tonne, unchanged on the day (YTD: +27.9%)
  • Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 585,000 per tonne, unchanged on the day (YTD: +20.6%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

PRECIOUS METALS

  • Gold spot currently at US$ 1,814.51 per troy ounce, up 1.6% on the day (YTD: -4.4%)
  • Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 12.59, up 7.1% on the day (YTD: -18.8%)
  • Silver spot currently at US$ 27.27 per troy ounce, up 3.1% on the day (YTD: +3.5%)
  • Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 27.98, up 6.8% on the day (YTD: -32.1%)
  • Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,944.18 per troy ounce, down -0.9% on the day (YTD: +20.5%)
  • Platinum spot currently at US$ 1,251.26 per troy ounce, up 2.1% on the day (YTD: +17.1%)
  • Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 29,100 per troy ounce, down -0.7% on the day (YTD: +70.7%)
  • Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 6,300 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +142.3%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

AGRO

  • Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 115.48 cents per pound, up 0.9% on the day (YTD: +2.2%)
  • Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 111.40 cents per pound, unchanged (YTD: +58.5%)
  • Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 13.91 cents per hundredweight, down -1.6% on the day (YTD: +12.1%)
  • Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,605.50 cents per bushel, up 1.5% on the day (YTD: +22.1%)
  • Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 759.50 cents per bushel, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: +56.9%)
  • Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 764.25 cents per bushel, up 1.1% on the day (YTD: +19.3%)
  • Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 17.55 cents per pound, up 0.1% on the day (YTD: +13.3%)
  • Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 90.58 cents per pound, up 3.8% on the day (YTD: +14.5%)
  • Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,372 per tonne, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: -8.9%)
  • Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 3,602 per tonne, up 4.6% on the day (YTD: +13.8%)
  • Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 1,645.00 per 1,000 board feet, up 0.6% on the day (YTD: +88.4%)
  • TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 11,100 per tonne, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: +11.1%)
  • Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 66.25 cents per pound, down -0.7% on the day (YTD: +52.9%)
  • Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 4,718 per tonne, up 2.6% on the day (YTD: +21.3%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

SHIPPING

  • Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 3,266, up 3.5% on the day (YTD: +139.1%)
  • Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 5,144, up 3.5% on the day (YTD: +32.8%)
  • Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 812, unchanged (YTD: +56.9%)
  • Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 495, unchanged (YTD: +47.3%)
  • Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 3,665, up 4.7% on the day (YTD: +90.5%)
  • Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 8,248, up 1.0% on the day (YTD: +69.0%)
  • Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,747, unchanged (YTD: +27.1%)
  • Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 3,043, unchanged (YTD: +79.9%)
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)

  • EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 49.33 per tonne, up 1.0% on the day (YTD: +55.4%)
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data