Commodities

Crude Oil And Nat Gas Up Today, Notching Big Gains This Week

According to Reuters, the IEA forecasts that OPEC+ will have to increase supply by about 1.4m in 2022, which should not be an issue considering that OPEC+ will have 6.9 million bpd of effective spare capacity after July and that Iran's current nuclear talks could add 1.4 million bpd in short order

Published ET

Brent Crude Front Month - Forward 6 Month Backwardation | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

Brent Crude Front Month - Forward 6 Month Backwardation | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data


Twitter iconFacebook iconLinkedIn iconemail iconWhatsApp icon

COMMO DATA RELEASES

  • Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count up 5 at 461
  • Baker Hughes U.S. Rotary Gas Rigs down 1 to 96
  • Baker Hughes U.S. Rotary Oil Rigs up 6 to 365

NOTABLE GAINERS

  • NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas up 4.7% (YTD: 29.8%)
  • Johnson Matthey Rhodium New York 0930 up 3.2% (YTD: 32.0%)
  • SHFE Aluminium up 2.1% (YTD: 20.5%)
  • SHFE Nickel up 2.0% (YTD: 8.7%)
  • Silver/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option up 1.9% (YTD: -33.6%)
  • CME Cattle(Feeder) up 1.9% (YTD: 8.8%)
  • Freightos Baltic Mediterranean To China/East Asia 40 Container Index up 1.4% (YTD: 13.9%)
  • Coffee Arabica Colombia Excelso EP Spot up 1.4% (YTD: 21.4%)
  • COMEX Copper up 1.1% (YTD: 29.2%)
  • CME Live Cattle up 1.0% (YTD: 5.1%)
  • NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) up 0.9% (YTD: 46.1%)

NOTABLE LOSERS

  • CME Random Length Lumber down -5.6% (YTD: 21.3%)
  • CBoT Soybean Oil down -4.9% (YTD: 54.6%)
  • Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil down -4.7% (YTD: -0.8%)
  • Johnson Matthey Iridium New York 0930 down -3.2% (YTD: 134.6%)
  • SHFE Rubber down -3.1% (YTD: -9.5%)
  • Shanghai International Exchange TSR 20 Rubber down -2.9% (YTD: 2.1%)
  • CBoT Soybeans down -2.3% (YTD: 14.7%)
  • Gold/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option down -2.3% (YTD: -26.9%)
  • CBoT Corn down -2.1% (YTD: 41.4%)
  • EEX European-Carbon- Secondary Trading down -2.1% (YTD: 64.1%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, FactSet data

NET POSITIONS OF MANAGED MONEY (WEEKLY CFTC REPORT)

ENERGY
  • Crude light sweet crude increased net long position
  • Ice Brent increased net long position
  • Gasoline RBOB reduced net long position
  • No.2 Heating Oil reduced net long position
  • Ice Gasoil increased net long position
  • Henry Hub Gas increased net long position
METALS
  • Gold reduced net long position
  • Silver increased net long position
  • Platinum reduced net long position
  • Palladium increased net long position
  • Copper-Grade#1 reduced net long position
AGRICULTURE
  • Wheat turned to net short
  • Corn reduced net long position
  • Rough Rice reduced net long position
  • Oats turned to net long
  • Soybeans increased net long position
  • Soybean Oil reduced net long position
  • Soybean Meal increased net long position
  • Lean Hogs increased net long position
  • Live Cattle increased net long position
  • Feeder Cattle reduced net long position
  • Cocoa reduced net long position
  • Coffee reduced net long position
  • Robusta Coffee reduced net long position
  • Frozen OJ turned to net long
  • Sugar No.11 reduced net long position
  • White Sugar reduced net long position

DAILY MOVES - ENERGY

  • WTI crude front month currently at US$ 70.91 per barrel, up 0.9% on the day (YTD: +46.1%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Brent crude front month currently at US$ 72.69 per barrel, up 0.2% on the day (YTD: +40.3%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Brent volatility at 28.7, up 4.7% on the day (12-month range: 24.7 - 58.9)
  • Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 127.00 per tonne, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: +57.8%)
  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 3.30 per MMBtu, up 4.7% on the day (YTD: +29.8%)
  • Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.19 per gallon, down -1.2% on the day (YTD: +55.2%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 589.50 per tonne, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: +40.1%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

DAILY MOVES - BASE METALS

  • Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.54 per pound, up 1.1% on the day (YTD: +29.2%)
  • Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 1,340.00 per tonne, up 0.8% on the day (YTD: +24.2%)
  • Aluminium (Shanghai) currently at CNY 18,895 per tonne, up 2.1% on the day (YTD: +20.5%)
  • Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 134,500 per tonne, up 2.0% on the day (YTD: +8.7%)
  • Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 15,385 per tonne, up 0.2% on the day (YTD: +4.6%)
  • Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 4,900 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +16.1%)
  • Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 209,480 per tonne, up 0.5% on the day (YTD: +39.2%)
  • Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 22,550 per tonne, up 0.5% on the day (YTD: +8.1%)
  • Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 346,500 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +26.5%)
  • Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 620,000 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +27.8%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

DAILY MOVES - PRECIOUS METALS

  • Gold spot currently at US$ 1,877.13 per troy ounce, down -1.0% on the day (YTD: -1.1%)
  • Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 11.35, down -2.3% on the day (YTD: -26.9%)
  • Silver spot currently at US$ 27.89 per troy ounce, down -0.3% on the day (YTD: +5.8%)
  • Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 27.23, up 1.9% on the day (YTD: -33.6%)
  • Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,775.90 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +13.5%)
  • Platinum spot currently at US$ 1,146.13 per troy ounce, down -0.6% on the day (YTD: +7.2%)
  • Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 22,500 per troy ounce, up 3.2% on the day (YTD: +32.0%)
  • Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 6,100 per troy ounce, down -3.2% on the day (YTD: +134.6%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

DAILY MOVES - AGRO

  • Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 118.70 cents per pound, up 1.0% on the day (YTD: +5.1%)
  • Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 122.68 cents per pound, up 0.2% on the day (YTD: +74.6%)
  • Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 12.85 cents per hundredweight, down -0.6% on the day (YTD: +3.6%)
  • Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,508.50 cents per bushel, down -2.3% on the day (YTD: +14.7%)
  • Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 684.50 cents per bushel, down -2.1% on the day (YTD: +41.4%)
  • Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 680.75 cents per bushel, down -0.4% on the day (YTD: +6.3%)
  • Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 17.61 cents per pound, down -0.7% on the day (YTD: +13.2%)
  • Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 87.00 cents per pound, down -0.4% on the day (YTD: +11.4%)
  • Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,354 per tonne, down -1.4% on the day (YTD: -9.7%)
  • Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 3,841 per tonne, up 1.4% on the day (YTD: +21.4%)
  • Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 1,059.20 per 1,000 board feet, down -5.6% on the day (YTD: +21.3%)
  • TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 10,200 per tonne, down -2.9% on the day (YTD: +2.1%)
  • Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 66.98 cents per pound, down -4.9% on the day (YTD: +54.6%)
  • Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 3,859 per tonne, down -4.7% on the day (YTD: -0.8%)
Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

DAILY MOVES - SHIPPING

  • Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 2,669, up 7.6% on the day (YTD: +95.4%)
  • Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 6,341, unchanged (YTD: +51.0%)
  • Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 1,208, unchanged (YTD: +133.2%)
  • Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 699, unchanged (YTD: +92.5%)
  • Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 5,193, unchanged (YTD: +177.8%)
  • Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 11,037, unchanged (YTD: +94.9%)
  • Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,659, unchanged (YTD: +20.7%)
  • Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 3,754, unchanged (YTD: +121.9%)
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

DAILY MOVES - CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)

  • EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 52.67 per tonne, down -2.1% on the day (YTD: +61.0%)

CO2 Permits Futures Prices | Data source: Refinitiv