Commodities

Commodities Fall, But Freight Rates Between China And The US Keep Rising

Front-months crude oil prices fell today despite a bullish EIA inventories report, as concerns over global growth weighs on the demand picture

Published ET

Brent Crude Settled Below $68 per barrel, with the 6-month backwardation tightening | Source: Refinitiv

Brent Crude Settled Below $68 per barrel, with the 6-month backwardation tightening | Source: Refinitiv


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WEEKLY EIA INVENTORIES REPORT

  • Total Crude Oil excluding SPR, Absolute change, Volume for W 13 Aug (EIA, United States) at -3.23 Mln, below consensus estimate of -1.06 Mln
  • Total Distillate, Absolute change, Volume for W 13 Aug (EIA, United States) at -2.70 Mln, below consensus estimate of 0.28 Mln
  • Gasoline, Absolute change, Volume for W 13 Aug (EIA, United States) at 0.70 Mln, above consensus estimate of -1.67 Mln
  • Refinery Capacity Utilization, Absolute change, Volume for W 13 Aug (EIA, United States) at 0.40 %, above consensus estimate of 0.20 %

NOTABLE GAINERS TODAY

  • Freightos Baltic China/East Asia To North America West Coast 40 Container Index up 14.2% (YTD: 338.7%)
  • Freightos Baltic China/East Asia To North America East Coast 40 Container Index up 12.1% (YTD: 269.0%)
  • Freightos Baltic Global Index up 7.1% (YTD: 204.5%)
  • DCE Coking Coal Continuation Month 1 up 4.0% (YTD: 68.0%)
  • DCE Coke up 2.7% (YTD: 11.1%)
  • CME Random Length Lumber up 2.6% (YTD: -46.4%)
  • Zhengzhou Exchange Thermal Coal up 2.4% (YTD: 14.7%)
  • Freightos Baltic Europe To South America West Coast Container Index up 2.0% (YTD: 216.9%)
  • SMM Lithium Metal Spot Price Daily up 1.5% (YTD: 43.3%)
  • CME Cattle(Feeder) up 1.5% (YTD: 14.3%)
  • CME Lean Hogs up 1.4% (YTD: 26.8%)
  • ICE-US Cocoa up 0.9% (YTD: 1.0%)
  • ICE-US Sugar No. 11 up 0.7% (YTD: 30.2%)
  • CBoT Corn up 0.6% (YTD: 16.1%)
  • CME Live Cattle up 0.6% (YTD: 9.8%)

NOTABLE LOSERS TODAY

  • Freightos Baltic North America East Coast To Europe 40 Container Index down -12.8% (YTD: 27.6%)
  • Freightos Baltic North America East Coast To China/East Asia 40 Container Index down -11.5% (YTD: 45.9%)
  • Freightos Baltic North America West Coast To China/East Asia 40 Container Index down -5.8% (YTD: 76.0%)
  • Commodities Exchange Center Iron Ore 62% Fe CFR China (TSI) down -4.6% (YTD: 2.4%)
  • Palladium spot down -2.7% (YTD: -1.1%)
  • SGX Iron Ore 62% China CFR Swap Monthly down -2.7% (YTD: 2.8%)
  • Brent Forties and Oseberg Dated FOB North sea Crude down -2.3% (YTD: 32.7%)
  • SMM Rare Earth Dysprosium Metal Spot Price Daily down -2.2% (YTD: 37.2%)
  • DCE Iron Ore Continuation Month 1 down -2.1% (YTD: -11.7%)
  • COMEX Copper down -2.0% (YTD: 17.1%)
  • SHFE Hot Rolled Coil down -1.9% (YTD: 24.2%)
  • SMM Rare Earth Dysprosium Iron Alloy Spot Price Daily down -1.9% (YTD: 35.2%)
  • SMM Rare Earth Dysprosium Oxide Spot Price Daily down -1.9% (YTD: 34.8%)
  • SMM Rare Earth Terbium Metal Spot Price Daily down -1.9% (YTD: 15.6%)
  • Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil down -1.8% (YTD: 17.0%)
GSCI Sub-Indices Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataGSCI Equal Weight Total Return Index | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

ENERGY MOSTLY DOWN TODAY

  • WTI crude front month currently at US$ 64.48 per barrel, down -1.7% (YTD: +34.9%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Brent crude front month currently at US$ 67.30 per barrel, down -1.2% (YTD: +31.7%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Brent volatility at 32.9, up 0.3% (12-month range: 26.1 - 43.4)
  • Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 171.00 per tonne, down -0.3% (YTD: +112.4%)
  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 3.82 per MMBtu, up 0.4% (YTD: +51.7%)
  • Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.13 per gallon, down -0.8% (YTD: +52.5%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 556.50 per tonne, down -0.6% (YTD: +35.7%)
GSCI Energy Constituents Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataWTI, Brent 1-month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

BASE METALS FELL TODAY

  • Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.12 per pound, down -2.0% (YTD: +17.1%)
  • Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 887.50 per tonne, down -2.1% (YTD: -11.7%)
  • Aluminum (Shanghai) currently at CNY 19,970 per tonne, down -0.3% (YTD: +29.4%)
  • Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 141,210 per tonne, down -1.5% (YTD: +16.5%)
  • Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 15,270 per tonne, down -0.6% (YTD: +4.2%)
  • Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 4,923 per tonne, down -1.8% (YTD: +21.6%)
  • Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 241,130 per tonne, up 0.2% (YTD: +61.2%)
  • Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 22,525 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +8.7%)
  • Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 362,500 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +32.3%)
  • Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 695,000 per tonne, up 1.5% (YTD: +43.3%)
GSCI Base Metals Constituents | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataLME Base Metals 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

PRECIOUS METALS DOWN TODAY

  • Gold spot currently at US$ 1,784.58 per troy ounce, up 0.1% (YTD: -5.8%)
  • Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 12.80, down -0.2% (YTD: -18.0%)
  • Silver spot currently at US$ 23.40 per troy ounce, down -0.6% (YTD: -10.9%)
  • Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 22.50, down -1.3% (YTD: -45.5%)
  • Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,420.71 per troy ounce, down -2.7% (YTD: -1.1%)
  • Platinum spot currently at US$ 994.47 per troy ounce, down -0.1% (YTD: -7.0%)
  • Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 19,000 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +11.4%)
  • Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 5,200 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +100.0%)
GSCI Precious Metals Constituents | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataGold, Silver 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

AGS MOSTLY UP TODAY

  • Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 124.03 cents per pound, up 0.6% (YTD: +9.8%)
  • Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 89.10 cents per pound, up 1.4% (YTD: +26.8%)
  • Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 13.25 cents per hundredweight, down -1.2% (YTD: +7.1%)
  • Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,352.25 cents per bushel, down -0.8% (YTD: +3.3%)
  • Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 559.75 cents per bushel, up 0.6% (YTD: +16.1%)
  • Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 733.75 cents per bushel, up 0.4% (YTD: +15.1%)
  • Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 20.17 cents per pound, up 0.7% (YTD: +30.2%)
  • Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 95.52 cents per pound, down -0.2% (YTD: +22.3%)
  • Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,630 per tonne, up 0.9% (YTD: +1.0%)
  • Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 4,350 per tonne, down -1.7% (YTD: +37.4%)
  • Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 468.00 per 1,000 board feet, up 2.6% (YTD: -46.4%)
  • TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 11,455 per tonne, up 0.4% (YTD: +15.8%)
  • Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 61.44 cents per pound, down -1.0% (YTD: +42.9%)
  • Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 4,552 per tonne, down -1.8% (YTD: +17.0%)
GSCI Agriculture Constituents | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataAgs 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

SHIPPING TODAY

  • Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 3,657, up 1.4% (YTD: +167.7%)
  • Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 18,425, up 14.2% (YTD: +338.7%)
  • Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 911, down -5.8% (YTD: +76.0%)
  • Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 463, down -12.8% (YTD: +27.6%)
  • Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 5,929, unchanged (YTD: +217.2%)
  • Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 14,038, unchanged (YTD: +147.9%)
  • Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,549, unchanged (YTD: +12.6%)
  • Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 5,361, up 2.0% (YTD: +216.9%)
Freightos Indices | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataBaltic Dry Index | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)

  • EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 57.13 per tonne, down -0.2% (YTD: +74.6%)

CO2 EUA Front-Month Prices | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data