FX
US Dollar Inches Down Despite Higher Rates
Decent macro data in Europe and Japan, while Chinese April retail sales, industrial output growth decelerated from March
Published ET

Israeli Shekel 1-Month Implied Volatility | Source: Refinitiv
QUICK SUMMARY
- The US Dollar Index is down -0.2% at 90.2
- Euro up 0.1% at 1.2151 (YTD: -0.5%)
- Yen up 0.1% at 109.19 (YTD: -5.4%)
- Onshore Yuan unchanged at 6.4388 (YTD: +1.4%)
- Swiss franc down 0.2% at 0.9032 (YTD: -2.0%)
- Sterling up 0.3% at 1.4134 (YTD: +3.4%)
- Canadian dollar up 0.3% at 1.2066 (YTD: +5.5%)
- Australian dollar down 0.1% at 0.7763 (YTD: +0.9%)
- NZ dollar down 0.7% at 0.7200 (YTD: +0.2%)
MACRO DATA RELEASES
- Canada, Housing Starts, All areas for Apr 2021 (CMHC, Canada) at 268.60, below consensus estimate of 280.0
- China (Mainland), Investment in Fixed Assets, Urban, Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (NBS, China) at 19.90, above consensus estimate of 19.0
- China (Mainland), Retail Sales, Consumer goods, Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (NBS, China) at 17.70, below consensus estimate of 24.9
- Euro Zone, Financial Account, Assets, Official reserve assets, all currencies except national currency, Current Prices for Apr 2021 (ECB) at 852.14
- Finland, Official reserve assets, Current Prices for Apr 2021 (Bank of Finland) at 11,408.00
- India, Wholesale Prices, Change Y/Y, Price Index for Apr 2021 (Econ Adviser, India) at 10.49, above consensus estimate of 9.1
- Italy, HICP, Final, Change P/P, Price Index for Apr 2021 (ISTAT, Italy) at 0.90, in line
- Italy, HICP, Final, Change Y/Y, Price Index for Apr 2021 (ISTAT, Italy) at 1.00, in line
- Japan, Exports, Goods and Services, Net, contributions to changes, 1st prelim, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at -0.20, in line
- Japan, Final Consumption Expenditure, Private, Total, 1st prelim, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at -1.40, above consensus estimate of -2.0
- Japan, GDP, Total, 1st prelim, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at -5.10, below consensus estimate of -4.6
- Japan, GDP, Total, 1st prelim, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at -1.30, below consensus estimate of -1.2
- Japan, GFCF, Non-residential investment, 1st prelim, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at -1.40, below consensus estimate of 1.1
- Russia, GDP, Total-prelim, Change Y/Y for Q1 2021 (RosStat, Russia) at -1.00
- Thailand, GDP, Change Y/Y for Q1 2021 (NESDB, Thailand) at -2.60, above consensus estimate of -3.3
RATES SPREADS
- 5Y German-US interest rates spread 1.0 bp wider, positive for the dollar
- 5Y Japan-US rates spread 1.8 bp wider, positive for the dollar
- 5Y Chinese-US rates spread 0.5 bp tighter, positive for the dollar
VOLATILITIES
- Deutsche Bank USD Currency Volatility Index currently at 6.34, down -0.13 on the day (YTD: -0.95)
- Euro 1-Month At-The-Money Implied Volatility currently at 5.65, up 0.1 on the day (YTD: -1.3)
- Japanese Yen 1M ATM IV currently at 5.53, up 0.3 on the day (YTD: -0.6)
- Offshore Yuan 1M ATM IV currently at 3.85, unchanged (YTD: -1.8)
NOTABLE MOVES IN SOVEREIGN CDS
- Government of Chile (rated A-): up 7.0 basis points to 59 bp (1Y range: 43-105bp)
- Spain (rated A-): up 1.6 basis points to 37 bp (1Y range: 29-105bp)
- Peru (rated BBB+): up 1.5 basis points to 81 bp (1Y range: 52-103bp)
- Philippines (rated BBB): down 0.6 basis points to 46 bp (1Y range: 33-81bp)
- Malaysia (rated BBB+): down 0.7 basis points to 46 bp (1Y range: 33-105bp)
- Indonesia (rated BBB): down 0.9 basis points to 76 bp (1Y range: 66-190bp)
- State of Qatar (rated AA-): down 1.0 basis points to 42 bp (1Y range: 33-98bp)
- Russia (rated BBB): down 2.4 basis points to 90 bp (1Y range: 72-131bp)
- Thailand (rated BBB+): down 2.8 basis points to 39 bp (1Y range: 33-57bp)
- South Africa (rated BB-): down 3.2 basis points to 198 bp (1Y range: 197-372bp)
NOTABLE OTHER MOVERS TODAY
- Venezuela Bolivar up 3.0% (YTD: -62.2%)
- Turkish Lira up 1.9% (YTD: -10.5%)
- Jamaican Dollar up 1.7% (YTD: -4.7%)
- Hungarian Forint up 1.1% (YTD: +2.7%)
- Samoa Tala down 1.0% (YTD: -0.1%)
- Haiti Gourde down 1.1% (YTD: -19.7%)
- Chilean Peso down 2.2% (YTD: -0.7%)
- Afghani down 2.5% (YTD: -2.9%)
- CFA Franc BEAC down 3.4% (YTD: -1.5%)
- Seychelles rupee down 5.9% (YTD: +26.5%)