Commodities
WTI Closes Above $70, Brent Above $72 As EIA Lowers Its Forecasts For US Production
Freightos Indices of ocean freight prices keep rising, with China to North America routes, as well as Europe to South America, being the largest gainers today
Published ET
Brent Backwardation In 1M-6M Rising | Source: Refinitiv
HEADLINES & MACRO
- EIA lowers 2022 US crude production forecast for the third consecutive month, now to 11.79 MM Bbld (+6.5% YoY). Credit Suisse analysts think that "the EIA is underestimating CAPEX discipline from public US E&Ps into 2022", meaning that US capacity and production will likely not recover as quickly as the EIA initially anticipated.
NOTABLE GAINERS
- Freightos Baltic China/East Asia To North America East Coast 40 Container Index up 18.1% (YTD: 66.0%)
- Zhengzhou Exchange Thermal Coal up 9.1% (YTD: 9.3%)
- Freightos Baltic China/East Asia To North America West Coast 40 Container Index up 8.0% (YTD: 47.2%)
- Freightos Baltic Europe To South America West Coast Container Index up 6.6% (YTD: 121.9%)
- Freightos Baltic Europe To South America East Coast 40 Container Index up 6.1% (YTD: 157.8%)
- Freightos Baltic Global Index up 4.8% (YTD: 75.6%)
- Pork Primal Cutout Butt up 3.1% (YTD: 154.1%)
- SGX Iron Ore 62% China CFR Swap Monthly up 3.0% (YTD: 33.1%)
- ICE-US Sugar No. 11 up 1.9% (YTD: 14.3%)
- NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas up 1.9% (YTD: 23.2%)
NOTABLE LOSERS
- Freightos Baltic North Europe To China/East Asia 40 Container Index down -5.8% (YTD: 20.7%)
- CME Random Length Lumber down -4.4% (YTD: 33.7%)
- SHFE Rubber down -2.7% (YTD: -6.8%)
- SHFE Bitumen Continuation Month 1 down -2.6% (YTD: 28.9%)
- Johnson Matthey Rhodium New York 0930 down -2.2% (YTD: 27.6%)
- DCE Iron Ore Continuation Month 1 down -2.1% (YTD: 16.1%)
- SHFE Hot Rolled Coil down -1.8% (YTD: 18.5%)
- SMM Rare Earth Terbium Oxide Spot Price Daily down -1.6% (YTD: -12.4%)
- ICE-US Coffee down -1.5% (YTD: 23.0%)
- Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil down -1.2% (YTD: 7.4%)
- Platinum spot down -1.1% (YTD: 8.6%)
ENERGY
- WTI crude front month currently at US$ 70.03 per barrel, up 1.2% on the day (YTD: +44.4%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
- Brent crude front month currently at US$ 72.22 per barrel, up 1.0% on the day (YTD: +39.4%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
- Brent volatility at 27.0, up 0.7% on the day (12-month range: 24.7 - 58.9)
- Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 122.75 per tonne, up 0.9% on the day (YTD: +52.5%)
- Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 3.13 per MMBtu, up 1.9% on the day (YTD: +23.2%)
- Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.22 per gallon, up 1.2% on the day (YTD: +57.6%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
- Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 580.50 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +38.0%)
BASE METALS
- Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.56 per pound, up 0.6% on the day (YTD: +29.9%)
- Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 1,252.50 per tonne, down -2.1% on the day (YTD: +16.1%)
- Aluminium (Shanghai) currently at CNY 18,470 per tonne, down -0.6% on the day (YTD: +17.1%)
- Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 131,550 per tonne, up 0.2% on the day (YTD: +5.7%)
- Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 15,130 per tonne, up 0.3% on the day (YTD: +1.7%)
- Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 4,898 per tonne, up 0.4% on the day (YTD: +16.1%)
- Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 207,990 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +36.2%)
- Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 22,630 per tonne, up 0.3% on the day (YTD: +8.2%)
- Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 346,500 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +26.5%)
- Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 620,000 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +27.8%)
PRECIOUS METALS
- Gold spot currently at US$ 1,893.19 per troy ounce, down -0.3% on the day (YTD: -0.3%)
- Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 12.11, down -0.9% on the day (YTD: -22.2%)
- Silver spot currently at US$ 27.60 per troy ounce, down -1.0% on the day (YTD: +4.7%)
- Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 28.06, down -1.1% on the day (YTD: -31.5%)
- Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,808.20 per troy ounce, down -1.0% on the day (YTD: +14.8%)
- Platinum spot currently at US$ 1,161.22 per troy ounce, down -1.1% on the day (YTD: +8.6%)
- Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 21,750 per troy ounce, down -2.2% on the day (YTD: +27.6%)
- Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 6,300 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +142.3%)
AGRO
- Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 116.73 cents per pound, up 0.4% on the day (YTD: +3.3%)
- Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 120.70 cents per pound, up 0.7% on the day (YTD: +71.8%)
- Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 13.14 cents per hundredweight, down -1.0% on the day (YTD: +6.0%)
- Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,580.00 cents per bushel, up 1.3% on the day (YTD: +20.1%)
- Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 680.00 cents per bushel, up 0.1% on the day (YTD: +40.5%)
- Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 685.00 cents per bushel, up 0.7% on the day (YTD: +6.9%)
- Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 17.71 cents per pound, up 1.9% on the day (YTD: +14.3%)
- Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 85.14 cents per pound, up 0.9% on the day (YTD: +9.0%)
- Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,375 per tonne, up 1.1% on the day (YTD: -8.8%)
- Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 3,842 per tonne, down -0.6% on the day (YTD: +21.4%)
- Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 1,167.00 per 1,000 board feet, down -4.4% on the day (YTD: +33.7%)
- TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 10,485 per tonne, down -0.7% on the day (YTD: +4.9%)
- Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 72.08 cents per pound, up 1.8% on the day (YTD: +66.4%)
- Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 4,180 per tonne, down -1.2% on the day (YTD: +7.4%)
SHIPPING
- Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 2,428, down -0.4% on the day (YTD: +77.7%)
- Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 6,181, up 8.0% on the day (YTD: +47.2%)
- Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 1,266, up 1.4% on the day (YTD: +144.5%)
- Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 699, unchanged (YTD: +92.5%)
- Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 5,051, up 1.4% on the day (YTD: +170.3%)
- Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 11,037, up 1.4% on the day (YTD: +94.9%)
- Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,659, down -5.8% on the day (YTD: +20.7%)
- Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 3,754, up 6.6% on the day (YTD: +121.9%)
CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)
- EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 52.17 per tonne, up 1.4% on the day (YTD: +59.4%)