Commodities

Energy Commodities And Base Metals Rise Further

Natural Gas settled above $4, as hot summer weather and growing Asian demand pushed prices up 11% this week

Published ET

S&P GSCI Sub-Indices Performance Over The Past 10 Years | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet data

S&P GSCI Sub-Indices Performance Over The Past 10 Years | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet data


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BAKER HUGHES NORTH AMERICAN RIG COUNT

  • US rig count +7 to 491 in latest week and +240 year on year
  • Land-based rigs +7 to 473 in latest week and +234 year on year
  • Offshore unchanged at 17 in latest week and +5 year on year
  • Oil +7 to 387 in latest week and +206 year on year
  • Gas unchanged at 104 in latest week and +36 year on year

NOTABLE GAINERS TODAY

  • Coffee Arabica Colombia Excelso EP Spot up 7.6% (YTD: 45.3%)
  • Coffee Robusta Vietnam Grade 1 Wet Pol Spot up 5.4% (YTD: 27.2%)
  • Freightos Baltic North America West Coast To China/East Asia 40 Container Index up 4.5% (YTD: 124.5%)
  • Freightos Baltic North America East Coast To China/East Asia 40 Container Index up 3.6% (YTD: 95.8%)
  • Freightos Baltic China/East Asia To North America East Coast 40 Container Index up 3.5% (YTD: 95.9%)
  • ICE-US Sugar No. 11 up 3.1% (YTD: 17.3%)
  • SHFE Stannum up 2.9% (YTD: 54.4%)
  • DCE RBD Palm Oil up 2.8% (YTD: 18.6%)
  • Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil up 2.5% (YTD: 16.7%)
  • SHFE Nickel up 2.3% (YTD: 14.3%)
  • SHFE Lead up 1.9% (YTD: 10.1%)

NOTABLE LOSERS TODAY

  • CBoT Corn down -3.1% (YTD: 13.1%)
  • Platinum spot down -2.8% (YTD: -0.7%)
  • CBoT Soybean Meal down -2.6% (YTD: -18.6%)
  • Pork Primal Cutout Butt down -2.6% (YTD: 27.3%)
  • ICE-US Coffee down -2.4% (YTD: 47.4%)
  • CME Random Length Lumber down -2.0% (YTD: -27.4%)
  • DCE Iron Ore down -1.8% (YTD: 10.8%)
  • Palladium spot down -1.7% (YTD: 9.3%)
  • Silver/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option IV down -1.4% (YTD: -45.8%)
  • Gold/US Dollar 1 Month ATM Option IV down -1.3% (YTD: -20.5%)
  • SMM Rare Earth Gadolinium Oxide Spot Price Daily down -1.2% (YTD: 39.0%)
  • CBoT Wheat down -1.2% (YTD: 6.8%)

NET POSITIONS OF MANAGED MONEY (WEEKLY CFTC REPORT)

ENERGY

  • Light Sweet Crude reduced net long position
  • Ice Brent reduced net long position
  • Gasoline Rbob reduced net long position
  • No.2 Heating Oil reduced net long position
  • Ice Gasoil reduced net long position
  • Henry Hub Ice reduced net long position

ICE Brent Net Managed Positioning | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data

METALS

  • Gold increased net long position
  • Silver reduced net long position
  • Platinum reduced net long position
  • Palladium reduced net long position
  • Copper-Grade#1 reduced net long position

AGRICULTURE

  • Wheat reduced net short position
  • Corn increased net long position
  • Rough Rice reduced net short position
  • Oats turned to net long
  • Soybeans increased net long position
  • Soybean Oil increased net long position
  • Soybean Meal increased net long position
  • Lean Hogs increased net long position
  • Live Cattle reduced net long position
  • Feeder Cattle reduced net long position
  • Cocoa increased net short position
  • Coffee C increased net long position
  • Robusta Coffee reduced net long position
  • Frozen Orange Juice increased net long position
  • Sugar No.11 reduced net long position
  • White Sugar reduced net long position
GSCI Sub-indices Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataGSCI Equal Weight Index | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet data

ENERGY UP AGAIN TODAY

  • WTI crude front month currently at US$ 72.07 per barrel, up 0.2% (YTD: +48.5%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Brent crude front month currently at US$ 74.10 per barrel, up 0.4% (YTD: +43.1%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Brent volatility at 28.5, down -0.4% (12-month range: 24.7 - 57.6)
  • Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) unchanged at US$ 149.75 per tonne (YTD: +86.0%)
  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 4.06 per MMBtu, up 1.4% (YTD: +59.9%)
  • Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.29 per gallon, up 0.8% (YTD: +62.7%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 599.00 per tonne, up 1.1% (YTD: +42.4%)
GSCI Energy Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataCrude Oil 1-month ATM IV | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

BASE METALS MOSTLY UP TODAY

  • Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.46 per pound, up 1.3% (YTD: +25.4%)
  • Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 1,204.00 per tonne, down -1.8% (YTD: +10.8%)
  • Aluminium (Shanghai) currently at CNY 19,520 per tonne, up 1.2% (YTD: +23.1%)
  • Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 145,600 per tonne, up 2.3% (YTD: +14.3%)
  • Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 16,165 per tonne, up 1.9% (YTD: +10.1%)
  • Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 5,590 per tonne, up 1.4% (YTD: +32.6%)
  • Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 235,960 per tonne, up 2.9% (YTD: +54.4%)
  • Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 22,340 per tonne, up 0.1% (YTD: +6.3%)
  • Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 379,500 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +38.5%)
  • Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 620,000 per tonne, unchanged (YTD: +27.8%)
GSCI Industrial Metals Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataLME Base Metals 1-Month ATM IVs | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

PRECIOUS METALS FELL TODAY

  • Gold spot currently at US$ 1,801.48 per troy ounce, down -0.3% (YTD: -5.1%)
  • Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 12.55, down -1.3% (YTD: -20.5%)
  • Silver spot currently at US$ 25.15 per troy ounce, down -1.0% (YTD: -4.6%)
  • Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 22.15, down -1.4% (YTD: -45.8%)
  • Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,672.34 per troy ounce, down -1.7% (YTD: +9.3%)
  • Platinum spot currently at US$ 1,061.31 per troy ounce, down -2.8% (YTD: -0.7%)
  • Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 18,400 per troy ounce, down -1.1% (YTD: +7.9%)
  • Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 5,600 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +115.4%)
GSCI Precious Metals Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataSilver, Gold 1-month ATM Implied Volatility

AGS MOSTLY DOWN TODAY

  • Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 121.50 cents per pound, up 0.6% (YTD: +7.6%)
  • Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 107.35 cents per pound, up 0.7% (YTD: +52.8%)
  • Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 13.62 cents per hundredweight, up 0.6% (YTD: +9.8%)
  • Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,401.00 cents per bushel, down -1.1% (YTD: +6.5%)
  • Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 547.25 cents per bushel, down -3.1% (YTD: +13.1%)
  • Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 684.00 cents per bushel, down -1.2% (YTD: +6.8%)
  • Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 18.10 cents per pound, up 3.1% (YTD: +17.3%)
  • Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 89.73 cents per pound, up 0.1% (YTD: +15.6%)
  • Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,320 per tonne, up 0.2% (YTD: -10.8%)
  • Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 4,598 per tonne, up 7.6% (YTD: +45.3%)
  • Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 634.00 per 1,000 board feet, down -2.0% (YTD: -27.4%)
  • TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 10,590 per tonne, up 1.1% (YTD: +5.6%)
  • Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 65.66 cents per pound, up 1.0% (YTD: +51.5%)
  • Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 4,540 per tonne, up 2.5% (YTD: +16.7%)
GSCI Agriculture Today | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataAgs 1-Month ATM IVs | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

SHIPPING TODAY

  • Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 3,103, up 1.5% (YTD: +127.2%)
  • Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 6,654, up 1.6% (YTD: +58.5%)
  • Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 1,162, up 4.5% (YTD: +124.5%)
  • Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 697, unchanged (YTD: +91.9%)
  • Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 6,013, unchanged (YTD: +221.7%)
  • Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 13,209, up 0.1% (YTD: +133.3%)
  • Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,617, unchanged (YTD: +17.6%)
  • Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 4,463, unchanged (YTD: +163.8%)
Baltic Dry Index | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataFreightos Indices | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)

  • EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 50.89 per tonne, up 0.2% (YTD: +55.5%)

EUA CO2 Permits | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data