Commodities

Industrials Commodities Fell This Week On Unimpressive Economic Growth, Dip In Long-Term Inflation Expectations

Crude oil started the week much lower ahead of the November OPEC+ meeting and rose into the weekend, as the cartel pointed to lower demand in 2022 to keep its current monthly increases unchanged

Published ET

Copper Weekly Front-Month Futures Prices vs. US 10Y TIPS Inflation Breakeven | Source: Refinitiv

Copper Weekly Front-Month Futures Prices vs. US 10Y TIPS Inflation Breakeven | Source: Refinitiv


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NOTABLE GAINERS THIS WEEK

  • CME Cash settled Butter up 9.3% (YTD: 31.2%), now at 193.50
  • SHFE Stannum (Tin) up 8.3% (YTD: 93.9%), now at 291,630.00
  • CME Non Fat Dry Milk up 7.7% (YTD: 29.8%), now at 146.50
  • CME Dry Whey up 7.0% (YTD: 32.5%), now at 58.55
  • DCE Coke up 5.1% (YTD: 45.3%), now at 4,359.00
  • CME Random Length Lumber up 4.0% (YTD: -29.6%), now at 615.00
  • WUXI Metal Cobalt Bi-Monthly up 3.9% (YTD: 51.5%), now at 409.00
  • ICE-US Sugar No. 11 up 3.5% (YTD: 28.7%), now at 19.98
  • CME Live Cattle up 3.5% (YTD: 16.7%), now at 131.80
  • Coffee Arabica Colombia Excelso EP spot up 3.3% (YTD: 59.3%), now at 5,043.00
  • Baltic Exchange Dirty Tank up 2.5% (YTD: 75.3%), now at 817.00
  • Gold spot up 2.0% (YTD: -4.2%), now at 1,817.63
  • Johnson Matthey Rhodium New York 0930 up 1.8% (YTD: -15.8%), now at 14,350.00
  • ICE-US Cotton No. 2 up 1.8% (YTD: 49.6%), now at 117.09
  • NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas up 1.7% (YTD: 117.3%), now at 05.52

NOTABLE LOSERS THIS WEEK

  • ICE Europe Newcastle Coal Monthly down -30.5% (YTD: 93.0%), now at 155.40
  • Baltic Exchange Capesize Index down -24.6% (YTD: 63.5%), now at 3,280.00
  • Baltic Exchange Dry index down -22.8% (YTD: 98.8%), now at 2,715.00
  • SGX Iron Ore 62% China CFR Swap Monthly down -22.7% (YTD: -39.9%), now at 93.72
  • Baltic Exchange Supramax Index down -22.2% (YTD: 132.5%), now at 2,416.00
  • Commodities Exchange Center Iron Ore 62% Fe CFR China (TSI) down -22.1% (YTD: -39.4%), now at 97.17
  • Baltic Exchange Panamax Index down -21.2% (YTD: 131.8%), now at 3,071.00
  • Baltic Exchange Handysize Index down -12.5% (YTD: 154.9%), now at 1,726.00
  • DCE Iron Ore Continuation Month 1 down -8.6% (YTD: -45.6%), now at 586.50
  • SHFE Aluminium down -7.5% (YTD: 19.4%), now at 19,095.00
  • SHFE Rubber down -6.6% (YTD: -5.0%), now at 12,795.00
  • SHFE Rebar down -6.6% (YTD: 6.4%), now at 4,600.00
  • ICE-US Cocoa down -5.8% (YTD: -7.9%), now at 2,401.00
  • DCE Coking Coal Continuation Month 1 down -5.8% (YTD: 126.6%), now at 3,400.00
  • Shanghai International Exchange TSR 20 Rubber down -5.7% (YTD: 10.9%), now at 10,850.00

NET POSITIONS OF MANAGED MONEY (WEEKLY CFTC REPORT)

ENERGY

  • Light Sweet Crude reduced net long position
  • Ice Brent reduced net long position
  • Gasoline RBOB reduced net long position
  • No.2 Heating Oil reduced net long position
  • Ice Gasoil reduced net long position
  • Henry Hub Ice reduced net long position

Brent Net Managed Positioning | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data

METALS

  • Gold reduced net long position
  • Silver reduced net long position
  • Platinum increased net long position
  • Palladium increased net short position
  • Copper-Grade#1 reduced net long position

AGRICULTURE

  • Wheat turned to net long
  • Corn increased net long position
  • Rough Rice turned to net short
  • Oats increased net long position
  • Soybeans increased net long position
  • Soybean Oil increased net long position
  • Soybean Meal reduced net short position
  • Lean Hogs reduced net long position
  • Live Cattle reduced net long position
  • Feeder Cattle increased net short position
  • Cocoa reduced net long position
  • Coffee C reduced net long position
  • Robusta Coffee reduced net long position
  • Frozen Orange Juice increased net short position
  • Sugar No.11 increased net long position
  • White Sugar increased net long position
S&P GSCI Sub-Indices Performance This Week | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataS&P GSCI Equal Weighted Total Return Index | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

ENERGY THIS WEEK

  • WTI crude front month currently at US$ 81.27 per barrel, down -2.8% (YTD: +67.5%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Brent crude front month currently at US$ 82.74 per barrel, down -1.9% (YTD: +59.7%); 6-month term structure in tightening backwardation
  • Newcastle Coal (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 155.40 per tonne, down -30.5% (YTD: +93.0%)

Newcastle Coal Front-Month Future | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data

  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub) currently at US$ 5.52 per MMBtu, up 1.7% (YTD: +117.3%)
  • Gasoline (NYMEX) currently at US$ 2.32 per gallon, down -5.7% (YTD: +64.8%); 6-month term structure in widening backwardation
  • Low Sulphur Gasoil (ICE Europe) currently at US$ 720.75 per tonne, up 0.3% (YTD: +71.3%)
GSCI Energy | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataBrent, WTI 1-Month ATM Implied Volatilities | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

BASE METALS THIS WEEK

  • Copper (COMEX) currently at US$ 4.35 per pound, down -0.6% (YTD: +23.8%)
  • Iron Ore (Dalian Commodity Exchange) currently at CNY 586.50 per tonne, down -8.6% (YTD: -45.6%)
  • Aluminium (Shanghai) currently at CNY 19,095 per tonne, down -7.5% (YTD: +19.4%)
  • Nickel (Shanghai) currently at CNY 143,980 per tonne, down -2.4% (YTD: +14.6%)
  • Lead (Shanghai) currently at CNY 15,610 per tonne, down -1.3% (YTD: +5.9%)
  • Rebar (Shanghai) currently at CNY 4,600 per tonne, down -6.6% (YTD: +6.4%)
  • Tin (Shanghai) currently at CNY 291,630 per tonne, up 8.3% (YTD: +93.9%)
  • Zinc (Shanghai) currently at CNY 22,960 per tonne, down -2.9% (YTD: +10.2%)
  • Refined Cobalt (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 411,000 per tonne, up 1.7% (YTD: +50.0%)
  • Lithium (Shanghai) spot price currently at CNY 1,015,000 per tonne, up 6.3% (YTD: +109.3%)
GSCI Base Metals | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataLME Base Metals 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

PRECIOUS METALS THIS WEEK

  • Gold spot currently at US$ 1,817.63 per troy ounce, up 2.0% (YTD: -4.2%)
  • Gold 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 12.25, down -4.4% (YTD: -21.4%)
  • Silver spot currently at US$ 24.15 per troy ounce, up 1.1% (YTD: -8.4%)
  • Silver 1-Month ATM implied volatility currently at 23.10, down 0.0% (YTD: -42.7%)
  • Palladium spot currently at US$ 2,034.57 per troy ounce, up 1.5% (YTD: -16.8%)
  • Platinum spot currently at US$ 1,033.30 per troy ounce, up 1.5% (YTD: -3.3%)
  • Rhodium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 14,350 per troy ounce, up 1.8% (YTD: -15.8%)
  • Iridium (Johnson Matthey, New York 09:30) currently at US$ 4,500 per troy ounce, unchanged (YTD: +73.1%)
GSCI Precious Metals | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataGold, Silver 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

AGS THIS WEEK

  • Live Cattle (CME) currently at US$ 131.80 cents per pound, up 3.5% (YTD: +16.7%)
  • Lean Hogs (CME) currently at US$ 76.55 cents per pound, up 0.6% (YTD: +8.9%)
  • Rough Rice (CBOT) currently at US$ 13.29 cents per hundredweight, up 0.1% (YTD: +7.2%)
  • Soybeans Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 1,192.25 cents per bushel, down -3.5% (YTD: -9.4%)
  • Corn (CBOT) currently at US$ 553.00 cents per bushel, down -2.7% (YTD: +14.3%)
  • Wheat Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 766.50 cents per bushel, down -0.8% (YTD: +19.7%)
  • Sugar No.11 (ICE US) currently at US$ 19.98 cents per pound, up 3.5% (YTD: +28.7%)
  • Cotton No.2 (ICE US) currently at US$ 117.09 cents per pound, up 1.8% (YTD: +49.6%)
  • Cocoa (ICE US) currently at US$ 2,401 per tonne, down -5.8% (YTD: -7.9%)
  • Coffee Arabica (Colombia Excelso) currently at EUR 5,043 per tonne, up 3.3% (YTD: +59.3%)
  • Random Length Lumber (CME) currently at US$ 615.00 per 1,000 board feet, up 4.0% (YTD: -29.6%)
  • TSR 20 Rubber (Shanghai) currently at CNY 10,850 per tonne, down -5.7% (YTD: +10.9%)
  • Soybean Oil Composite (CBOT) currently at US$ 58.78 cents per pound, down -4.1% (YTD: +35.7%)
  • Crude Palm Oil (Bursa Malaysia) currently at MYR 5,330 per tonne, up 0.2% (YTD: +36.7%)
GSCI Agriculture | Sources: ϕpost, FactSet dataAgs 1-Month ATM Implied Vols | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

SHIPPING THIS WEEK

  • Baltic Dry Index (Baltic Exchange) currently at 2,715, down -22.8% (YTD: +98.8%)
  • Freightos China To North America West Coast Container Index currently at 18,730, down -3.8% (YTD: +346.0%)
  • Freightos North America West Coast To China Container Index currently at 1,158, up 8.8% (YTD: +123.7%)
  • Freightos North America East Coast To Europe Container Index currently at 397, unchanged (YTD: +9.4%)
  • Freightos Europe To North America East Coast Container Index currently at 7,305, up 0.9% (YTD: +290.8%)
  • Freightos China To North Europe Container Index currently at 14,219, down -0.3% (YTD: +151.1%)
  • Freightos North Europe To China Container Index currently at 1,290, down -3.2% (YTD: -6.2%)
  • Freightos Europe To South America West Coast Container Index currently at 5,227, down -6.0% (YTD: +209.0%)
Baltic exchange dry index | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataFreightos Container Indices | Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

CARBON EMISSION ALLOWANCES (CO2)

  • EUA futures front month (European Energy Exchange) currently at EUR 59.39 per tonne, up 1.2% (YTD: +81.5%)

CO2 EUA Front-Month Futures Prices | Sources: phipost.com, Refinitiv data