FX

Dollar Up On Higher Rates, Though Currencies Volatility Still Low

Total crypto market cap was down over $1T from its highs at one point this morning before a strong bounce off the lows

Published ET

Dollar Index Intraday | Source: Refinitiv

Dollar Index Intraday | Source: Refinitiv


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QUICK SUMMARY

  • The US Dollar Index is up 0.5% at 90.2
  • Euro down 0.4% at 1.2172 (YTD: -0.3%)
  • Yen down 0.3% at 109.21 (YTD: -5.5%)
  • Onshore Yuan down 0.1% at 6.4342 (YTD: +1.4%)
  • Swiss franc down 0.7% at 0.9038 (YTD: -2.1%)
  • Sterling down 0.5% at 1.4113 (YTD: +3.2%)
  • Canadian dollar down 0.6% at 1.2131 (YTD: +5.0%)
  • Australian dollar down 0.8% at 0.7726 (YTD: +0.4%)
  • NZ dollar down 1.1% at 0.7167 (YTD: -0.3%)

MACRO DATA RELEASES

  • Australia, Wage Prices, All Sectors, Total hourly rates of pay excluding bonuses, all industries, Change P/P for Q1 2021 (AU Bureau of Stat) at 0.60, above consensus estimate of 0.5
  • Australia, Wage Prices, All Sectors, Total hourly rates of pay excluding bonuses, all industries, Change Y/Y for Q1 2021 (AU Bureau of Stat) at 1.50, above consensus estimate of 1.4
  • Canada, CPI, Core CPI (Bank of Canada), Change P/P, Price Index for Apr 2021 (CANSIM, Canada) at 0.50
  • Canada, CPI, Core CPI (Bank of Canada), Change Y/Y, Price Index for Apr 2021 (CANSIM, Canada) at 2.30
  • Euro Zone, CPI, Change P/P, Price Index for Apr 2021 (Eurostat) at 0.60, in line with consensus
  • Euro Zone, CPI, Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (Eurostat) at 1.60, in line with consensus
  • Japan, Exports, Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (MoF, Japan) at 0.00, below consensus estimate of 30.9
  • Japan, Imports, Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (MoF, Japan) at 0.00, below consensus estimate of 8.8
  • Japan, New Orders, Machinery , Private, excluding volatile orders, Change P/P for Mar 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at 0.00, below consensus estimate of 6.4
  • Japan, New Orders, Machinery , Private, excluding volatile orders, Change Y/Y for Mar 2021 (Cabinet Office, JP) at 0.00, above consensus estimate of -2.6
  • Japan, Trade Balance, Current Prices for Apr 2021 (MoF, Japan) at 0.00, below consensus estimate of 140.0
  • Mozambique, Policy Rates, Standing Lending Facility for May 2021 (Bank of Mozambique) at 16.25
  • South Africa, CPI, Urban Areas, Headline, Change Y/Y, Price Index for Apr 2021 (Statistics, SA) at 4.40, above consensus estimate of 4.30
  • United Kingdom, CPI, All items (CPI), Change Y/Y for Apr 2021 (ONS, United Kingdom) at 1.50, above consensus estimate of 1.4
  • Zambia, Policy Rates, BOZ Policy Rate for May 2021 (Bank of Zambia) at 8.50
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

RATES SPREADS

  • 5Y German-US interest rates spread 3.0 bp wider
  • 5Y Japan-US rates spread 2.5 bp wider
  • 5Y Chinese-US rates spread 5.8 bp tighter
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

VOLATILITIES

  • Deutsche Bank USD Currency Volatility Index currently at 6.44, up 0.07 on the day (YTD: -0.85)
  • Euro 1-Month At-The-Money Implied Volatility currently at 6.13, up 0.1 on the day (YTD: -0.8)
  • Japanese Yen 1M ATM IV currently at 5.80, up 0.2 on the day (YTD: -0.3)
  • Offshore Yuan 1M ATM IV currently at 3.95, unchanged (YTD: -1.7)
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataSources: ϕpost, Refinitiv data

NOTABLE MOVES IN SOVEREIGN CDS

  • Government of Chile (rated A-): up 4.4 basis points to 66 bp (1Y range: 43-104bp)
  • State of Qatar (rated AA-): up 2.0 basis points to 44 bp (1Y range: 33-95bp)
  • Saudi Arabia (rated A): up 2.9 basis points to 64 bp (1Y range: 53-136bp)
  • Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government (rated AA-): up 1.5 basis points to 36 bp (1Y range: 28-42bp)
  • Philippines (rated BBB): up 1.8 basis points to 48 bp (1Y range: 33-80bp)
  • Russia (rated BBB): up 3.4 basis points to 93 bp (1Y range: 72-130bp)
  • United Arab Emirates (rated AA-): up 2.0 basis points to 62 bp (1Y range: 50-62bp)
  • Israel (rated A+): up 1.5 basis points to 52 bp (1Y range: 46-53bp)
  • Malaysia (rated BBB+): up 1.3 basis points to 47 bp (1Y range: 33-101bp)
  • Czech Republic (rated AA-): up 1.0 basis points to 39 bp (1Y range: 31-39bp)
Sources: ϕpost, Refinitiv dataChile 5Y USD CDS Spread Intraday | Sources: Refinitiv

NOTABLE OTHER MOVERS TODAY

  • Malagasy Ariary up 2.1% (YTD: +8.1%)
  • Angolan Kwanza up 1.3% (YTD: +1.2%)
  • North Macedonian Denar up 1.0% (YTD: 0.0%)
  • Jamaican Dollar up 0.9% (YTD: -4.4%)
  • Australian Dollar down 0.9% (YTD: +0.4%)
  • Brazilian Real down 0.9% (YTD: -2.2%)
  • New Zealand $ down 1.1% (YTD: -0.3%)
  • Norwegian Krone down 1.2% (YTD: +3.1%)
  • Qatari Riyal down 1.3% (YTD: -1.3%)
  • Samoa Tala down 1.5% (YTD: -0.5%)